Yen Kai's Idea Cast

SOR slid dramatically to 0.258% on Aug 23, arguably the historical low of all times, then sprang up again to above 0.3%. Incidentally, the 3-month USD Libor rate is also at 0.3% and has been falling and staying low. Exchange rate wise, USD/SGD has been stable at around 1.35 and probably did not play a big factor in the action of SOR.

As you can see, the two are somewhat correlated, with the Ten Year Treasury Note Yield (TNX) leading. Watch out for the recent rise of the TNX.

It's been a busy 2008 year end for me, leaving me little time to catch up with reading and writing. Before you know it, we are in 2009 already. I thought i had better get a sense of what to expect in the coming months.

As was widely anticipated, the Feds have dropped the Fed Funds Rate to 1%. Rate cuts, coupled with other measures, seem to be gaining some traction at lowering LIBOR rates to which more than $360 trillion of financial products are tied.

With the collapse of Lehman Brothers, many were wondering if the Feds will cut their target rates to help keep credit flowing. The FOMC decided to keep rates at 2%.

So far i have become acquainted with the Federal Funds Rate, bonds and foreign exchange. It's time to look at two very important topics - inflation and money supply. This article looks at some of the implications of events taking place on inflation and money supply.